Summary This screen shows the Product Forecast Results of any composite line changes that might have been made in the previous K3S_3030 Product History What If? screen. The composite line is used to build seasonal profiles, which are then used to make seasonal factors. With this feature, the user can apply changes to the composite line and then see the forecasting results without accepting the changes until they are ready. One way to get to K3S_3035: Opt 2=Products from the Main Menu Opt7=All Locations Opt3=Product History F22=Composite F20=Results Sub Pages K3S_3030 - Product History Function Keys K3S_3030 – Product History Display Field Descriptions Total demand The Total Customer Demand for all the periods shown in K3S_3030 or K3S_3031 Product History What If? Screen. Number of periods The total number of periods that have stored data in them. Starting values Average - The beginning average period's demand. This is the average it is starting out with. Devp (Deviation Percentage) - The starting deviation percentage. T/S (Tracking Signal) - The beginning Tracking Signal setting. A Tracking Signal is a self adjusting value used to place more emphasis on recent history when a product is trending up or down. Forecast method This is the Forecast Method that has been chosen to use with this product. The choices are: 0 Mean Absolute Deviation 1 Standard Deviation Note: To view the company default setting for the Forecast Method see Company Maintenance – Screen 1 of 3. See section Product Maintenance - Product Identification - Screen 1 of 5 to change the Forecast Method on a product level. Period Number The specific period number that is being reported on. A period could be monthly, weekly or 13 x 4 weekly. Actual Demand This is the actual demand for the associated period shown. Note: Hi/Low shows next to the highest and lowest demand of all the periods captured. Seasonal Factor The seasonal factor is a computed amount that tells the user the degree of seasonality that is seen at that specific time. It is a measurement used to rate if there is enough variance to warrant seasonality. Generally, a number greater than 1.5 warrants a possible seasonality candidate. See Seasonality Analyzer for more on this. Calculated result values Average - The product's average order amount, computed up until the specific period shown. Devp (Deviation Percentage) - The products Deviation Percentage, computed up until the specific period shown. The Deviation Percentage is an indication of stability. The lower the deviation, the more predictable and hence less safety stock will be needed. The higher the deviation, the less predictable and more safety stock will be needed. T/S (Tracking Signal) - The product's Tracking Signal, computed up until the specific period shown. The Tracking Signal is the percentage the average is moving up or down. No ‘smoothing’ has been applied to this. Function Key Descriptions F12=Previous Transfer the user to the previously selected screen. |
